Östersunds FK
Östers IF
The model leans Östersunds FK at 41%. Expected goals: Östersunds FK 1.78, Östers IF 1.46. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 65%. Östersunds FK won 3 of their last 6; Östers IF won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Östersunds FK | 44% | 2.27 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.00 | – | – | – |
| 2Östers IF | 31% | 3.24 | – | – | – |
Pick: Östersunds FK. Calibrated probability 41% (raw model output 44%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.78 – 1.46| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% |
| Both teams to score | Yes64% | No36% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–27.5%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–26.6%
- 2–06.2%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 56% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Östersunds FK −0.5| Östersunds FK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | – | 55% |
| 0 | 45% | 23% | 32% |
| +0.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.