IK Brage
Nordic United FC
The model leans Nordic United FC at 37%. Expected goals: IK Brage 2.04, Nordic United FC 2.05. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 77%. IK Brage won 1 of their last 6; Nordic United FC won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1IK Brage | 39% | 2.57 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.58 | – | – | – |
| 2Nordic United FC | 39% | 2.54 | – | – | – |
Pick: Nordic United FC. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 39%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.04 – 2.05| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| Both teams to score | Yes76% | No24% |
Most likely scores
- 2–27.3%
- 1–27.2%
- 2–17.1%
- 1–17.0%
- 2–35.0%
- 3–25.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 68% · BTTS Yes 61%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: IK Brage 0| IK Brage line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 18% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| 0 | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| +0.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 18% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | – | 22% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.