IFK Norrköping
IK Brage
The model leans IFK Norrköping at 50%. Expected goals: IFK Norrköping 2.04, IK Brage 1.25. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 63%. IFK Norrköping won 6 of their last 6; IK Brage won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1IFK Norrköping | 55% | 1.83 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.31 | – | – | – |
| 2IK Brage | 22% | 4.54 | – | – | – |
Pick: IFK Norrköping. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 55%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.04 – 1.25| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% |
| Both teams to score | Yes62% | No38% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.5%
- 2–07.8%
- 1–07.6%
- 3–16.6%
- 2–26.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: IFK Norrköping −1| IFK Norrköping line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 33% | – | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 22% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| 0 | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| +0.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.