Falkenbergs FF
Nordic United FC
The model leans Falkenbergs FF at 46%. Expected goals: Falkenbergs FF 2.02, Nordic United FC 1.50. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%. Falkenbergs FF won 2 of their last 6; Nordic United FC won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Falkenbergs FF | 49% | 2.05 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.29 | – | – | – |
| 2Nordic United FC | 28% | 3.58 | – | – | – |
Pick: Falkenbergs FF. Calibrated probability 46% (raw model output 49%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.02 – 1.50| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% |
| Both teams to score | Yes67% | No33% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.1%
- 1–19.0%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–26.7%
- 3–16.1%
- 2–06.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Falkenbergs FF −0.5| Falkenbergs FF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 21% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| 0 | 50% | 22% | 29% |
| +0.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.