Falkenbergs FF
Norrby
The model leans Falkenbergs FF at 50%. Expected goals: Falkenbergs FF 2.13, Norrby 1.39. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 67%. Falkenbergs FF won 2 of their last 6; Norrby won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Falkenbergs FF | 54% | 1.87 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.44 | – | – | – |
| 2Norrby | 24% | 4.19 | – | – | – |
Pick: Falkenbergs FF. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 54%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.13 – 1.39| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% |
| Both teams to score | Yes66% | No34% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–06.7%
- 3–16.6%
- 2–26.5%
- 1–06.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Falkenbergs FF −0.5| Falkenbergs FF line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 33% | – | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 22% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| 0 | 54% | 21% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.