GIF Sundsvall
Norrby
The model leans Norrby at 50%. Expected goals: GIF Sundsvall 1.21, Norrby 1.93. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 61%. GIF Sundsvall won 1 of their last 6; Norrby won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1GIF Sundsvall | 23% | 4.40 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.14 | – | – | – |
| 2Norrby | 53% | 1.88 | – | – | – |
Pick: Norrby. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 53%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.21 – 1.93| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% |
| Both teams to score | Yes60% | No40% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.1%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–18.4%
- 0–28.1%
- 1–36.3%
- 2–16.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 55% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Norrby −0.5| GIF Sundsvall line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 9% | – | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| 0 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| +0.5 | 46% | – | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 23% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.