Predictions · Superettan · outside model coverage

Sandvikens IF

50
Won

GIF Sundsvall

The model leans Sandvikens IF at 50%. Expected goals: Sandvikens IF 1.63, GIF Sundsvall 0.90. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 51%. Sandvikens IF won 3 of their last 6; GIF Sundsvall won 1 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Sandvikens IF53%1.87
XDraw27%3.70
2GIF Sundsvall19%5.13

Pick: Sandvikens IF. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 53%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 81%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.63 – 0.90
LineOverUnder
1.572%28%
2.546%54%
3.525%75%
Both teams to scoreYes48%No52%

Most likely scores

  • 1013.0%
  • 1111.7%
  • 2010.6%
  • 219.5%
  • 008.0%
  • 017.2%

Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS No 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Sandvikens IF −0.5
Sandvikens IF lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.529%71%
-129%25%45%
-0.555%45%
055%25%21%
+0.579%21%
+179%14%7%
+1.593%7%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.