IF Karlstad
Sandvikens IF
The model leans IF Karlstad at 50%. Expected goals: IF Karlstad 1.44, Sandvikens IF 0.76. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 58%. IF Karlstad won 2 of their last 6; Sandvikens IF won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1IF Karlstad | 52% | 1.92 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.40 | – | – | – |
| 2Sandvikens IF | 18% | 5.41 | – | – | – |
Pick: IF Karlstad. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 52%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 82%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.44 – 0.76| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% |
| Both teams to score | Yes40% | No60% |
Most likely scores
- 1–016.0%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–011.5%
- 0–011.1%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 56% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: IF Karlstad −0.5| IF Karlstad line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 26% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | – | 47% |
| 0 | 53% | 27% | 20% |
| +0.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.