IK Oddevold
Norrby
The model leans IK Oddevold at 44%. Expected goals: IK Oddevold 2.10, Norrby 1.67. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 72%. IK Oddevold won 2 of their last 6; Norrby won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1IK Oddevold | 47% | 2.12 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.43 | – | – | – |
| 2Norrby | 30% | 3.31 | – | – | – |
Pick: IK Oddevold. Calibrated probability 44% (raw model output 47%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.10 – 1.67| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| Both teams to score | Yes71% | No29% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.5%
- 1–18.1%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.8%
- 3–15.9%
- 2–05.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: IK Oddevold −0.5| IK Oddevold line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 20% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | – | 52% |
| 0 | 48% | 21% | 31% |
| +0.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.