AFC Eskilstuna
IK Oddevold
The model leans IK Oddevold at 53%. Expected goals: AFC Eskilstuna 1.64, IK Oddevold 2.72. Over 2.5 goals 81%, both teams to score 76%. AFC Eskilstuna won 5 of their last 6; IK Oddevold won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1AFC Eskilstuna | 21% | 4.68 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 19% | 5.35 | – | – | – |
| 2IK Oddevold | 60% | 1.67 | – | – | – |
Pick: IK Oddevold. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 60%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 81%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.64 – 2.72| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% |
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% |
| Both teams to score | Yes75% | No25% |
Most likely scores
- 1–27.8%
- 1–37.0%
- 2–26.4%
- 2–35.8%
- 1–15.7%
- 1–44.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 61%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: IK Oddevold −1| AFC Eskilstuna line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| 0 | 22% | 18% | 60% |
| +0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| +1 | 40% | 20% | 41% |
| +1.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.