Predictions · Superettan · outside model coverage

IK Oddevold

31
Won

Helsingborg

The model leans IK Oddevold at 50%. Expected goals: IK Oddevold 2.30, Helsingborg 1.61. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 73%. IK Oddevold won 2 of their last 6; Helsingborg won 0 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1IK Oddevold53%1.90
XDraw21%4.68
2Helsingborg26%3.83

Pick: IK Oddevold. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 53%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 79%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 2.30 – 1.61
LineOverUnder
1.590%10%
2.575%25%
3.555%45%
Both teams to scoreYes72%No28%

Most likely scores

  • 218.5%
  • 117.4%
  • 226.9%
  • 316.5%
  • 126.0%
  • 205.3%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 61% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: IK Oddevold −0.5
IK Oddevold lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.533%67%
-133%20%47%
-0.553%47%
053%20%27%
+0.573%27%
+173%14%13%
+1.587%13%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.