Nordic United FC
Varbergs BoIS FC
The model leans Nordic United FC at 39%. Expected goals: Nordic United FC 1.88, Varbergs BoIS FC 1.65. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 69%. Nordic United FC won 1 of their last 6; Varbergs BoIS FC won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nordic United FC | 43% | 2.35 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.19 | – | – | – |
| 2Varbergs BoIS FC | 34% | 2.98 | – | – | – |
Pick: Nordic United FC. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 43%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.88 – 1.65| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% |
| Both teams to score | Yes68% | No32% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.1%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–05.5%
- 3–15.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Nordic United FC 0| Nordic United FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 20% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| 0 | 43% | 22% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 17% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.