Häcken
Halmstads BK
The model leans Häcken at 63%. Expected goals: Häcken 2.35, Halmstads BK 0.75. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 51%. Häcken won 3 of their last 6; Halmstads BK won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Häcken | 72% | 1.39 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 18% | 5.44 | – | – | – |
| 2Halmstads BK | 9% | 10.58 | – | – | – |
Pick: Häcken. Calibrated probability 63% (raw model output 72%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 91%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.35 – 0.75| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% |
| Both teams to score | Yes48% | No52% |
Most likely scores
- 2–012.4%
- 1–010.6%
- 3–09.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–18.0%
- 3–17.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 55% · BTTS No 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Häcken −1.5| Häcken line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| -1 | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| -0.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
| 0 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +0.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.