Halmstads BK
GAIS
The model leans GAIS at 53%. Expected goals: Halmstads BK 0.76, GAIS 1.73. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 55%. Halmstads BK won 2 of their last 6; GAIS won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Halmstads BK | 15% | 6.70 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.92 | – | – | – |
| 2GAIS | 60% | 1.68 | – | – | – |
Pick: GAIS. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 60%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 85%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.76 – 1.73| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% |
| Both teams to score | Yes44% | No56% |
Most likely scores
- 0–114.4%
- 0–212.5%
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–08.4%
- 0–37.2%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: GAIS −1| Halmstads BK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5% | – | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | – | 84% |
| 0 | 16% | 23% | 61% |
| +0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 26% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.