GAIS
Halmstads BK
The model leans GAIS at 62%. Expected goals: GAIS 2.11, Halmstads BK 0.62. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 59%. GAIS won 3 of their last 6; Halmstads BK won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1GAIS | 71% | 1.40 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 20% | 5.00 | – | – | – |
| 2Halmstads BK | 9% | 11.38 | – | – | – |
Pick: GAIS. Calibrated probability 62% (raw model output 71%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 91%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.11 – 0.62| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Both teams to score | Yes41% | No59% |
Most likely scores
- 2–014.5%
- 1–013.8%
- 3–010.2%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–18.5%
- 0–06.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 45% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: GAIS −1.5| GAIS line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 47% | – | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| 0 | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| +0.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.