Predictions · Cup · outside model coverage

Husqvarna FF

07
Won

GAIS

The model leans GAIS at 54%. Expected goals: Husqvarna FF 0.99, GAIS 2.08. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 56%.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Husqvarna FF16%6.20
XDraw22%4.47
2GAIS62%1.63

Pick: GAIS. Calibrated probability 54% (raw model output 62%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 84%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 0.99 – 2.08
LineOverUnder
1.581%19%
2.559%41%
3.537%63%
Both teams to scoreYes55%No45%

Most likely scores

  • 0210.1%
  • 129.9%
  • 019.7%
  • 119.6%
  • 037.0%
  • 136.9%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: GAIS −1
Husqvarna FF lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.56%94%
-16%11%83%
-0.517%83%
017%20%62%
+0.538%62%
+138%24%39%
+1.561%39%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.