Halmstads BK
Häcken
The model leans Häcken at 53%. Expected goals: Halmstads BK 0.92, Häcken 1.92. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 52%. Halmstads BK won 2 of their last 6; Häcken won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Halmstads BK | 16% | 6.09 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.21 | – | – | – |
| 2Häcken | 60% | 1.67 | – | – | – |
Pick: Häcken. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 60%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 84%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.92 – 1.92| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% |
| Both teams to score | Yes51% | No49% |
Most likely scores
- 0–111.2%
- 0–210.8%
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–36.9%
- 1–36.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Häcken −1| Halmstads BK line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 12% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| 0 | 17% | 22% | 61% |
| +0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | – | 36% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.