Stranraer
Annan Athletic
The model leans Stranraer at 50%. Expected goals: Stranraer 1.90, Annan Athletic 1.16. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 59%. Stranraer won 3 of their last 6; Annan Athletic won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Stranraer | 53% | 1.87 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.10 | – | – | – |
| 2Annan Athletic | 22% | 4.52 | – | – | – |
Pick: Stranraer. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 53%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.90 – 1.16| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% |
| Both teams to score | Yes58% | No42% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–08.4%
- 3–16.2%
- 1–26.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Stranraer −0.5| Stranraer line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 23% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| 0 | 54% | 22% | 23% |
| +0.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.