Bonnyrigg Rose
Annan Athletic
The model leans Bonnyrigg Rose at 60%. Expected goals: Bonnyrigg Rose 2.88, Annan Athletic 1.42. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 72%. Bonnyrigg Rose won 5 of their last 6; Annan Athletic won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bonnyrigg Rose | 67% | 1.49 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 17% | 5.87 | – | – | – |
| 2Annan Athletic | 16% | 6.29 | – | – | – |
Pick: Bonnyrigg Rose. Calibrated probability 60% (raw model output 67%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 84%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.88 – 1.42| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% |
| Both teams to score | Yes71% | No29% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.0%
- 3–17.7%
- 2–25.7%
- 2–05.7%
- 1–15.6%
- 4–15.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Bonnyrigg Rose −1.5| Bonnyrigg Rose line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 48% | – | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 20% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
| 0 | 68% | 16% | 17% |
| +0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.