Bonnyrigg Rose
East Stirlingshire
The model leans Bonnyrigg Rose at 69%. Expected goals: Bonnyrigg Rose 3.64, East Stirlingshire 1.26. Over 2.5 goals 87%, both teams to score 70%. Bonnyrigg Rose won 5 of their last 6; East Stirlingshire won 1 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bonnyrigg Rose | 80% | 1.25 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 11% | 8.70 | – | – | – |
| 2East Stirlingshire | 8% | 11.93 | – | – | – |
Pick: Bonnyrigg Rose. Calibrated probability 69% (raw model output 80%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 92%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.64 – 1.26| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% |
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 72% | 28% |
| Both teams to score | Yes70% | No30% |
Most likely scores
- 3–17.6%
- 4–16.9%
- 2–16.3%
- 3–06.1%
- 4–05.5%
- 5–15.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 70% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Bonnyrigg Rose −2| Bonnyrigg Rose line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 64% | – | 36% |
| -1 | 64% | 16% | 20% |
| -0.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
| 0 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +0.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.