East Stirlingshire
Stirling University FC
The model leans East Stirlingshire at 62%. Expected goals: East Stirlingshire 2.34, Stirling University FC 0.82. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 51%. East Stirlingshire won 1 of their last 4; Stirling University FC won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1East Stirlingshire | 71% | 1.42 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 19% | 5.30 | – | – | – |
| 2Stirling University FC | 11% | 9.43 | – | – | – |
Pick: East Stirlingshire. Calibrated probability 62% (raw model output 71%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 89%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.34 – 0.82| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% |
| Both teams to score | Yes51% | No49% |
Most likely scores
- 2–011.6%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–09.1%
- 1–18.1%
- 3–17.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 55% · BTTS Yes 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: East Stirlingshire −1.5| East Stirlingshire line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 48% | – | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
| 0 | 71% | 17% | 11% |
| +0.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.