Berwick Rangers
Stirling University FC
The model leans Berwick Rangers at 74%. Expected goals: Berwick Rangers 3.33, Stirling University FC 0.47. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 63%. Berwick Rangers won 1 of their last 6; Stirling University FC won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Berwick Rangers | 90% | 1.12 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 8% | 12.33 | – | – | – |
| 2Stirling University FC | 2% | 44.25 | – | – | – |
Pick: Berwick Rangers. Calibrated probability 74% (raw model output 90%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 98%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.33 – 0.47| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| Both teams to score | Yes36% | No64% |
Most likely scores
- 3–013.8%
- 2–012.5%
- 4–011.5%
- 5–07.7%
- 1–07.5%
- 3–16.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Berwick Rangers −2| Berwick Rangers line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| -1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| -0.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
| 0 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +0.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
| +1 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +1.5 | 100% | – | 0% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.