Stirling University FC
Tranent
The model leans Tranent at 70%. Expected goals: Stirling University FC 0.34, Tranent 2.35. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 74%. Stirling University FC won 0 of their last 6; Tranent won 6 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Stirling University FC | 3% | 29.94 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 14% | 6.93 | – | – | – |
| 2Tranent | 82% | 1.22 | – | – | – |
Pick: Tranent. Calibrated probability 70% (raw model output 82%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 97%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.34 – 2.35| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% |
| Both teams to score | Yes26% | No74% |
Most likely scores
- 0–218.8%
- 0–116.0%
- 0–314.7%
- 0–48.7%
- 0–06.8%
- 1–26.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 37% · BTTS No 60%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Tranent −2| Stirling University FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1% | – | 99% |
| -1 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -0.5 | 4% | – | 96% |
| 0 | 4% | 13% | 83% |
| +0.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| +1 | 17% | 23% | 59% |
| +1.5 | 41% | – | 59% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.