Bo'ness United
Tranent
The model leans Tranent at 55%. Expected goals: Bo'ness United 0.76, Tranent 1.94. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%. Bo'ness United won 3 of their last 6; Tranent won 6 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bo'ness United | 13% | 7.79 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.36 | – | – | – |
| 2Tranent | 64% | 1.56 | – | – | – |
Pick: Tranent. Calibrated probability 55% (raw model output 64%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 87%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.76 – 1.94| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% |
| Both teams to score | Yes45% | No55% |
Most likely scores
- 0–113.1%
- 0–212.7%
- 1–19.9%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–38.2%
- 0–06.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 38% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Tranent −1| Bo'ness United line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 4% | – | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| 0 | 14% | 21% | 65% |
| +0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| +1 | 35% | 25% | 40% |
| +1.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.