Gala Fairydean Rovers
Bo'ness United
The model leans Gala Fairydean Rovers at 44%. Expected goals: Gala Fairydean Rovers 2.12, Bo'ness United 1.68. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 72%. Gala Fairydean Rovers won 1 of their last 6; Bo'ness United won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Gala Fairydean Rovers | 47% | 2.11 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.46 | – | – | – |
| 2Bo'ness United | 30% | 3.31 | – | – | – |
Pick: Gala Fairydean Rovers. Calibrated probability 44% (raw model output 47%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.12 – 1.68| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| Both teams to score | Yes72% | No28% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.5%
- 1–18.0%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.7%
- 3–16.0%
- 2–05.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Gala Fairydean Rovers −0.5| Gala Fairydean Rovers line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 20% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | – | 52% |
| 0 | 48% | 21% | 31% |
| +0.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.