Predictions · Challenge Cup · outside model coverage

Gala Fairydean Rovers

04
Lost

Rangers B

The model leans Gala Fairydean Rovers at 51%. Expected goals: Gala Fairydean Rovers 2.51, Rangers B 1.59. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 74%.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Gala Fairydean Rovers57%1.75
XDraw20%5.00
2Rangers B23%4.37

Pick: Gala Fairydean Rovers. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 57%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 80%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 2.51 – 1.59
LineOverUnder
1.591%9%
2.577%23%
3.558%42%
Both teams to scoreYes73%No27%

Most likely scores

  • 218.3%
  • 317.0%
  • 116.6%
  • 226.6%
  • 325.5%
  • 125.3%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 68% · BTTS Yes 60%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Gala Fairydean Rovers −1
Gala Fairydean Rovers lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.537%63%
-137%20%42%
-0.558%42%
058%19%24%
+0.576%24%
+176%13%11%
+1.589%11%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.