Linlithgow Rose
Gala Fairydean Rovers
The model leans Linlithgow Rose at 74%. Expected goals: Linlithgow Rose 4.10, Gala Fairydean Rovers 0.87. Over 2.5 goals 87%, both teams to score 57%. Linlithgow Rose won 3 of their last 6; Gala Fairydean Rovers won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Linlithgow Rose | 90% | 1.12 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 7% | 14.22 | – | – | – |
| 2Gala Fairydean Rovers | 3% | 30.30 | – | – | – |
Pick: Linlithgow Rose. Calibrated probability 74% (raw model output 90%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 97%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 4.10 – 0.87| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% |
| 2.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 72% | 28% |
| Both teams to score | Yes57% | No43% |
Most likely scores
- 4–08.4%
- 3–08.2%
- 4–17.3%
- 3–17.1%
- 5–06.8%
- 2–06.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 70% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Linlithgow Rose −2| Linlithgow Rose line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| -1 | 77% | 12% | 10% |
| -0.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
| 0 | 90% | 7% | 4% |
| +0.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
| +1 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.