Musselburgh Athletic
Linlithgow Rose
The model leans Linlithgow Rose at 75%. Expected goals: Musselburgh Athletic 0.82, Linlithgow Rose 4.11. Over 2.5 goals 87%, both teams to score 55%. Musselburgh Athletic won 0 of their last 4; Linlithgow Rose won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Musselburgh Athletic | 3% | 34.36 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 7% | 15.04 | – | – | – |
| 2Linlithgow Rose | 90% | 1.11 | – | – | – |
Pick: Linlithgow Rose. Calibrated probability 75% (raw model output 90%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 97%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.82 – 4.11| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% |
| 2.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 72% | 28% |
| Both teams to score | Yes55% | No45% |
Most likely scores
- 0–48.9%
- 0–38.6%
- 0–57.3%
- 1–47.2%
- 1–37.0%
- 0–26.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 70% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Linlithgow Rose −2| Musselburgh Athletic line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1% | – | 99% |
| -1 | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| -0.5 | 3% | – | 97% |
| 0 | 3% | 6% | 90% |
| +0.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| +1 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| +1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.