Linlithgow Rose
Civil Service Strollers
The model leans Linlithgow Rose at 78%. Expected goals: Linlithgow Rose 4.60, Civil Service Strollers 0.54. Over 2.5 goals 89%, both teams to score 59%. Linlithgow Rose won 3 of their last 6; Civil Service Strollers won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Linlithgow Rose | 95% | 1.05 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 4% | 28.09 | – | – | – |
| 2Civil Service Strollers | 1% | 101.01 | – | – | – |
Pick: Linlithgow Rose. Calibrated probability 78% (raw model output 95%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 99%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 4.60 – 0.54| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% |
| 2.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 74% | 26% |
| Both teams to score | Yes41% | No59% |
Most likely scores
- 4–011.4%
- 5–010.5%
- 3–010.0%
- 6–08.1%
- 2–06.5%
- 4–16.2%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 71% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Linlithgow Rose −2| Linlithgow Rose line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
| -1 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| -0.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
| 0 | 95% | 3% | 1% |
| +0.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
| +1 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +1.5 | 100% | – | 0% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.