Tranent
Civil Service Strollers
The model leans Tranent at 73%. Expected goals: Tranent 2.92, Civil Service Strollers 0.44. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 66%. Tranent won 6 of their last 6; Civil Service Strollers won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Tranent | 87% | 1.15 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 10% | 9.55 | – | – | – |
| 2Civil Service Strollers | 3% | 34.97 | – | – | – |
Pick: Tranent. Calibrated probability 73% (raw model output 87%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 97%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.92 – 0.44| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Both teams to score | Yes33% | No67% |
Most likely scores
- 2–014.9%
- 3–014.5%
- 4–010.6%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–16.5%
- 3–16.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS No 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Tranent −2| Tranent line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
| -1 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| -0.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
| 0 | 87% | 10% | 3% |
| +0.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
| +1 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.