Linlithgow Rose
Cowdenbeath
The model leans Linlithgow Rose at 68%. Expected goals: Linlithgow Rose 2.89, Cowdenbeath 0.90. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 57%. Linlithgow Rose won 3 of their last 6; Cowdenbeath won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Linlithgow Rose | 77% | 1.29 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 14% | 6.93 | – | – | – |
| 2Cowdenbeath | 8% | 12.25 | – | – | – |
Pick: Linlithgow Rose. Calibrated probability 68% (raw model output 77%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 92%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.89 – 0.90| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| Both teams to score | Yes56% | No44% |
Most likely scores
- 2–09.5%
- 3–09.1%
- 2–18.5%
- 3–18.2%
- 4–06.6%
- 1–06.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Linlithgow Rose −2| Linlithgow Rose line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 58% | – | 42% |
| -1 | 58% | 20% | 22% |
| -0.5 | 78% | – | 22% |
| 0 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +0.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.