Cowdenbeath
Stirling University FC
The model leans Cowdenbeath at 70%. Expected goals: Cowdenbeath 2.65, Stirling University FC 0.53. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 61%. Cowdenbeath won 1 of their last 6; Stirling University FC won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cowdenbeath | 82% | 1.22 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 14% | 7.39 | – | – | – |
| 2Stirling University FC | 5% | 21.65 | – | – | – |
Pick: Cowdenbeath. Calibrated probability 70% (raw model output 82%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 95%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.65 – 0.53| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% |
| Both teams to score | Yes38% | No62% |
Most likely scores
- 2–014.7%
- 3–013.0%
- 1–011.1%
- 4–08.6%
- 2–17.7%
- 3–16.8%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 55% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Cowdenbeath −2| Cowdenbeath line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| -1 | 62% | 21% | 18% |
| -0.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
| 0 | 82% | 12% | 5% |
| +0.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
| +1 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.