Stirling University FC
Broxburn Athletic
The model leans Broxburn Athletic at 53%. Expected goals: Stirling University FC 0.98, Broxburn Athletic 1.98. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 55%. Stirling University FC won 0 of their last 6; Broxburn Athletic won 4 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Stirling University FC | 17% | 5.83 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.28 | – | – | – |
| 2Broxburn Athletic | 59% | 1.68 | – | – | – |
Pick: Broxburn Athletic. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 59%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.98 – 1.98| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 0–110.3%
- 0–210.1%
- 1–110.1%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–36.7%
- 1–36.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Broxburn Athletic −1| Stirling University FC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | – | 82% |
| 0 | 18% | 21% | 60% |
| +0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| +1 | 40% | 24% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | – | 36% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.