Stirling Albion
Stranraer
The model leans Stranraer at 39%. Expected goals: Stirling Albion 1.23, Stranraer 1.52. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%. Stirling Albion won 2 of their last 6; Stranraer won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Stirling Albion | 30% | 3.36 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.62 | – | – | – |
| 2Stranraer | 43% | 2.35 | – | – | – |
Pick: Stranraer. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 43%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 72%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.23 – 1.52| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams to score | Yes55% | No45% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–07.9%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–27.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 48% · BTTS Yes 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Stranraer −0.5| Stirling Albion line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| 0 | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| +0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | – | 22% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.