Airdrieonians
Stirling Albion
The model leans Airdrieonians at 70%. Expected goals: Airdrieonians 3.08, Stirling Albion 0.72. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 51%. Airdrieonians won 1 of their last 6; Stirling Albion won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Airdrieonians | 83% | 1.20 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 12% | 8.57 | – | – | – |
| 2Stirling Albion | 5% | 19.69 | – | – | – |
Pick: Airdrieonians. Calibrated probability 70% (raw model output 83%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 95%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.08 – 0.72| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| Both teams to score | Yes49% | No51% |
Most likely scores
- 3–011.0%
- 2–010.7%
- 4–08.5%
- 3–17.9%
- 2–17.7%
- 1–06.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS No 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Airdrieonians −2| Airdrieonians line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| -1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| -0.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
| 0 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +0.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.