Stirling Albion
Cove Rangers
The model leans Cove Rangers at 50%. Expected goals: Stirling Albion 0.94, Cove Rangers 1.69. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 51%. Stirling Albion won 2 of their last 6; Cove Rangers won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Stirling Albion | 20% | 5.09 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.79 | – | – | – |
| 2Cove Rangers | 54% | 1.85 | – | – | – |
Pick: Cove Rangers. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 54%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 80%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.94 – 1.69| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% |
| Both teams to score | Yes50% | No50% |
Most likely scores
- 0–112.2%
- 1–111.4%
- 0–210.3%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–07.2%
- 1–06.8%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 44% · BTTS Yes 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Cove Rangers −0.5| Stirling Albion line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 7% | – | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | – | 79% |
| 0 | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| +0.5 | 45% | – | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.