East Fife
Cove Rangers
The model leans Cove Rangers at 41%. Expected goals: East Fife 0.98, Cove Rangers 1.38. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 52%. East Fife won 1 of their last 6; Cove Rangers won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1East Fife | 25% | 3.95 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.36 | – | – | – |
| 2Cove Rangers | 45% | 2.23 | – | – | – |
Pick: Cove Rangers. Calibrated probability 41% (raw model output 45%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.98 – 1.38| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% |
| Both teams to score | Yes47% | No53% |
Most likely scores
- 0–113.0%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–09.4%
- 1–09.2%
- 0–29.0%
- 1–28.8%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 54% · BTTS No 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Cove Rangers −0.5| East Fife line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| 0 | 27% | 27% | 46% |
| +0.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | – | 22% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.