Peterhead
East Fife
The model leans Peterhead at 50%. Expected goals: Peterhead 1.82, East Fife 1.26. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%. Peterhead won 4 of their last 6; East Fife won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Peterhead | 49% | 2.02 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 3.98 | – | – | – |
| 2East Fife | 25% | 3.93 | – | – | – |
Pick: Peterhead. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 49%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.82 – 1.26| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% |
| Both teams to score | Yes60% | No40% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–26.6%
- 2–26.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Peterhead −0.5| Peterhead line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 22% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| 0 | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| +0.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.