Predictions · Challenge Cup · outside model coverage

Banks O'Dee

15
Lost

Peterhead

The model leans Banks O'Dee at 39%. Expected goals: Banks O'Dee 1.60, Peterhead 1.34. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 60%. Banks O'Dee won 0 of their last 6; Peterhead won 4 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Banks O'Dee42%2.36
XDraw27%3.75
2Peterhead31%3.22

Pick: Banks O'Dee. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.60 – 1.34
LineOverUnder
1.579%21%
2.556%44%
3.534%66%
Both teams to scoreYes59%No41%

Most likely scores

  • 1111.3%
  • 219.1%
  • 108.5%
  • 127.6%
  • 017.1%
  • 206.8%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Banks O'Dee 0
Banks O'Dee lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.522%78%
-122%21%57%
-0.543%57%
043%24%32%
+0.568%32%
+168%18%14%
+1.586%14%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.