Predictions · Highland / Lowland · outside model coverage

Banks O'Dee

11
Lost

Strathspey Thistle

The model leans Banks O'Dee at 70%. Expected goals: Banks O'Dee 2.95, Strathspey Thistle 0.70. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 52%. Banks O'Dee won 0 of their last 6; Strathspey Thistle won 3 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Banks O'Dee82%1.22
XDraw13%7.97
2Strathspey Thistle5%18.55

Pick: Banks O'Dee. Calibrated probability 70% (raw model output 82%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 95%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 2.95 – 0.70
LineOverUnder
1.588%12%
2.570%30%
3.549%51%
Both teams to scoreYes47%No53%

Most likely scores

  • 2011.4%
  • 3011.2%
  • 408.3%
  • 217.9%
  • 317.8%
  • 107.8%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS No 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Banks O'Dee −2
Banks O'Dee lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.564%36%
-164%19%17%
-0.583%17%
083%11%6%
+0.594%6%
+194%4%1%
+1.599%1%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.