Strathspey Thistle
Huntly
The model leans Huntly at 53%. Expected goals: Strathspey Thistle 0.84, Huntly 1.80. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 52%. Strathspey Thistle won 3 of their last 6; Huntly won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Strathspey Thistle | 16% | 6.27 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.01 | – | – | – |
| 2Huntly | 59% | 1.69 | – | – | – |
Pick: Huntly. Calibrated probability 53% (raw model output 59%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 84%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.84 – 1.80| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% |
| Both teams to score | Yes47% | No53% |
Most likely scores
- 0–112.9%
- 0–211.6%
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–07.2%
- 0–37.0%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 43% · BTTS No 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Huntly −1| Strathspey Thistle line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5% | – | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 12% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| 0 | 17% | 23% | 60% |
| +0.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| +1 | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | – | 35% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.