Lossiemouth
Huntly
The model leans Huntly at 61%. Expected goals: Lossiemouth 0.54, Huntly 1.92. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 63%. Lossiemouth won 2 of their last 5; Huntly won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lossiemouth | 9% | 11.55 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.60 | – | – | – |
| 2Huntly | 70% | 1.44 | – | – | – |
Pick: Huntly. Calibrated probability 61% (raw model output 70%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 91%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.54 – 1.92| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% |
| Both teams to score | Yes36% | No64% |
Most likely scores
- 0–116.4%
- 0–215.7%
- 0–310.1%
- 1–18.9%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–08.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 51% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Huntly −1.5| Lossiemouth line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2% | – | 98% |
| -1 | 2% | 7% | 90% |
| -0.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| 0 | 10% | 20% | 70% |
| +0.5 | 30% | – | 70% |
| +1 | 30% | 26% | 44% |
| +1.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.