Formartine United
Huntly
The model leans Formartine United at 50%. Expected goals: Formartine United 1.23, Huntly 0.46. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 73%. Formartine United won 3 of their last 6; Huntly won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Formartine United | 55% | 1.83 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.08 | – | – | – |
| 2Huntly | 13% | 7.79 | – | – | – |
Pick: Formartine United. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 55%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 87%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.23 – 0.46| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% |
| Both teams to score | Yes26% | No74% |
Most likely scores
- 1–022.6%
- 0–018.3%
- 2–014.0%
- 1–110.5%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–16.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 61% · BTTS No 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Formartine United −0.5| Formartine United line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 30% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| 0 | 56% | 30% | 14% |
| +0.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 11% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.