Queen of the South
Peterhead
The model leans Queen of the South at 55%. Expected goals: Queen of the South 2.40, Peterhead 1.19. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 64%. Queen of the South won 2 of their last 6; Peterhead won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Queen of the South | 63% | 1.58 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 20% | 5.00 | – | – | – |
| 2Peterhead | 17% | 6.02 | – | – | – |
Pick: Queen of the South. Calibrated probability 55% (raw model output 63%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.40 – 1.19| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| Both teams to score | Yes63% | No37% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.0%
- 1–17.9%
- 3–17.6%
- 1–06.7%
- 3–06.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Queen of the South −1| Queen of the South line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 22% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | – | 36% |
| 0 | 64% | 18% | 17% |
| +0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.