Queen of the South
Cumbernauld Colts
The model leans Queen of the South at 50%. Expected goals: Queen of the South 2.51, Cumbernauld Colts 1.70. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 76%. Queen of the South won 2 of their last 6; Cumbernauld Colts won 0 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Queen of the South | 55% | 1.82 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 20% | 4.99 | – | – | – |
| 2Cumbernauld Colts | 25% | 3.99 | – | – | – |
Pick: Queen of the South. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 55%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 80%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.51 – 1.70| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% |
| Both teams to score | Yes75% | No25% |
Most likely scores
- 2–17.9%
- 2–26.8%
- 3–16.7%
- 1–16.3%
- 3–25.7%
- 1–25.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 61%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Queen of the South −1| Queen of the South line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 20% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | – | 45% |
| 0 | 55% | 19% | 26% |
| +0.5 | 74% | – | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 13% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.