Auchinleck Talbot
Cumbernauld Colts
The model leans Auchinleck Talbot at 60%. Expected goals: Auchinleck Talbot 2.68, Cumbernauld Colts 1.20. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 66%. Auchinleck Talbot won 2 of their last 3; Cumbernauld Colts won 0 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Auchinleck Talbot | 68% | 1.47 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 18% | 5.65 | – | – | – |
| 2Cumbernauld Colts | 14% | 7.09 | – | – | – |
Pick: Auchinleck Talbot. Calibrated probability 60% (raw model output 68%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 86%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.68 – 1.20| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| Both teams to score | Yes65% | No35% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.9%
- 3–18.0%
- 2–07.5%
- 3–06.7%
- 1–16.7%
- 1–05.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 60% · BTTS Yes 57%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Auchinleck Talbot −1.5| Auchinleck Talbot line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 48% | – | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 21% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | – | 31% |
| 0 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +0.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.