Celtic B
Auchinleck Talbot
The model leans Auchinleck Talbot at 56%. Expected goals: Celtic B 1.41, Auchinleck Talbot 2.72. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 71%. Celtic B won 3 of their last 6; Auchinleck Talbot won 2 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Celtic B | 17% | 5.77 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 18% | 5.51 | – | – | – |
| 2Auchinleck Talbot | 65% | 1.55 | – | – | – |
Pick: Auchinleck Talbot. Calibrated probability 56% (raw model output 65%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.41 – 2.72| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 41% |
| Both teams to score | Yes71% | No29% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.4%
- 1–37.6%
- 1–16.2%
- 0–25.9%
- 2–25.9%
- 0–35.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 68% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Auchinleck Talbot −1| Celtic B line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 7% | – | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | – | 82% |
| 0 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| +0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| +1 | 35% | 20% | 45% |
| +1.5 | 55% | – | 45% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.