Predictions · Highland / Lowland · outside model coverage
Celtic B
1–1
Lost
Johnstone Burgh
The model leans Celtic B at 74%. Expected goals: Celtic B 2.25, Johnstone Burgh 0.05. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 96%.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match88
| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Celtic B | 88% | 1.14 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 11% | 8.72 | – | – | – |
| 2Johnstone Burgh | 0% | 232.56 | – | – | – |
Pick: Celtic B. Calibrated probability 74% (raw model output 88%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 100%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.25 – 0.05| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% |
| Both teams to score | Yes4% | No96% |
Most likely scores
- 2–025.4%
- 1–022.6%
- 3–019.0%
- 4–010.7%
- 0–010.1%
- 5–04.8%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 64%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Celtic B −2| Celtic B line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 64% | – | 36% |
| -1 | 64% | 24% | 12% |
| -0.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
| 0 | 88% | 11% | 1% |
| +0.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
| +1 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +1.5 | 100% | – | 0% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.