Kelty Hearts
Stirling Albion
The model leans Kelty Hearts at 50%. Expected goals: Kelty Hearts 1.72, Stirling Albion 1.03. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%. Kelty Hearts won 3 of their last 6; Stirling Albion won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kelty Hearts | 53% | 1.90 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.84 | – | – | – |
| 2Stirling Albion | 21% | 4.68 | – | – | – |
Pick: Kelty Hearts. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 53%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.72 – 1.03| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams to score | Yes53% | No47% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.3%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–16.6%
- 0–06.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 48% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Kelty Hearts −0.5| Kelty Hearts line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 30% | – | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 24% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | – | 46% |
| 0 | 54% | 24% | 23% |
| +0.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.