Dumbarton
Clyde
The model leans Clyde at 50%. Expected goals: Dumbarton 1.23, Clyde 1.84. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%. Dumbarton won 1 of their last 6; Clyde won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dumbarton | 24% | 4.09 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.02 | – | – | – |
| 2Clyde | 51% | 1.97 | – | – | – |
Pick: Clyde. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 51%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.23 – 1.84| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% |
| Both teams to score | Yes60% | No40% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–27.8%
- 2–16.5%
- 2–26.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 54% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Clyde −0.5| Dumbarton line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | – | 75% |
| 0 | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| +0.5 | 48% | – | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.